One of the best games on the NFL Thanksgiving schedule is Thursday’s clash between the Miami Dolphins and the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field.
The Packers have won eight of their 11 games, but are still two wins behind the 10-1 Detroit Lions in the NFC North, which has been a highly competitive division this season.
The teams last met in 2022, when the Dolphins were favorites at home but fell to the Packers 26-20 in a Christmas Day matchup. This time, Green Bay enters as slight favourites on their home turf.
The Dolphins were expected to be contenders in the AFC this season, and they’ve shown flashes of that potential. And at 5-6, they’re still in the thick of the Wild Card race, just 1.5 games behind the Denver Broncos for the final play-off spot.
The odds suggest a close game is expected at the iconic Lambeau Field on Thursday, and we’ve prepared a three-leg bet builder suggestion for the match that pays out at just under 5/1.
Green Bay Packers v Miami Dolphins tips
- Green Bay Packers to win
- Josh Jacobs over 0.5 rushing touchdowns
- Tyreek Hill over 0.5 receiving touchdowns
- BetBuilder Odds – 24/5
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Packers can continue their hot streak
The Packers will be looking to build on their impressive 38-10 victory over the San Francisco 49ers last week. Green Bay has won six of their last seven games, with quarterback Jordan Love showing significant improvement as the season has progressed.
Matt LaFleur’s team have done well to reach 8-3 with their losses coming against some of the NFL’s toughest teams: the Philadelphia Eagles, Minnesota Vikings and Lions, who have a combined 28-5 record.
The Dolphins would normally fall squarely into that category, but the timing of this game has fallen well for the Packers, as Miami make the long trip north at a time when the freezing game-time conditions could impact their high-powered offence.
While the Dolphins have won three straight games, they’ve struggled on the road this season, posting a 2-3 record away from South Florida. The Packers, meanwhile, have won three of their last four at Lambeau Field and should have the advantage in the cold Wisconsin weather.
Jacobs can lead the way for Packers
Josh Jacobs is the undisputed lead running back for the Packers this season and should be able to find success against the Dolphins’ defence.
Jacobs is coming off a monster performance against the 49ers, where he rushed for 106 yards and scored three touchdowns. He’s been a key part of the Packers’ offence, averaging 4.7 yards per carry on the season.
The Dolphins’ run defence has been vulnerable on the road, with only four teams allowing more than the 4.9 yards per carry generated by Miami’s away opponents.
With the potential for cold weather, Jacobs could see an increased workload and find his way into the end zone once again.
Hill overdue for a big game
Tyreek Hill has been a dynamic playmaker for the Dolphins this season, but he’s been relatively quiet in recent weeks. That situation is not likely to last much longer for a player who has 571 receiving yards and three touchdowns on the year.
Hill has the ability to break open a game at any moment, and the Packers’ secondary has shown vulnerability at times this season. Look for Tua Tagovailoa to target Hill early and often as the Dolphins try to keep pace with the Packers’ offence.
A receiving touchdown for Hill looks like a worthwhile addition to our bet builder, as the speedster is always a threat to take it to the house.
All odds correct at time of writing
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